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Fiat Central Banks Down for the Count?
Central banks are losing credibility ... Whether or not one believes that the €750bn European rescue plan will stabilise financial markets, its consequences for Europe's economies are surely negative. Indeed, while many cheered the initial rebound in equity markets, the reactions in currency markets on the first trading day after the announcement were a harbinger of these negative consequences: the initial gains of the euro were erased by the end of the trading session. Of course, the bail-out for holders of Greek government debt – and now possibly Spanish and Portuguese government debt – raises familiar problems of moral hazard that will increase risk-taking and encourage irresponsible government policy in the future. The loans and loan guarantees from other countries in Europe do not deal with the simple fact that the Greek government cannot service its debt and will eventually need to restructure it. At best the package gives officials some breathing room as they endeavour to reduce deficits and eventually restructure debts, though it is more likely that the adjustment problem will be made worse by being pushed down the road. But most worrisome for the euro, and the likely reason for its remarkable reversal in the currency markets on day one, is the agreement by the European Central Bank to buy the debt of the countries with troublesome debt burdens, just days after it said it would not engage in such purchases. This agreement raises questions about the independence of the ECB, thereby creating political obstacles to the conduct of good monetary policy in the future. – Financial Times
Dominant Social Theme: Too bad for mercantilist central banks – a growing (Greek) tragedy all around.
Free-Market Analysis: Because the Bell is perhaps the only publication singularly dedicated to reporting on the power elite's dominant social themes and how they are promoted and faring, our coverage often veers off from both the mainstream media's AND that of the alternative press. Additionally, having identified the Internet itself – comprising the world's second major modern communication's revolution (the Gutenberg press was the first one) – as a significant obstacle to power elite global centralization plans, we sometimes arrive at conclusions that are not necessarily aligned with either camp.
Our basic take is that the power elite is being challenged as never before. The challengers are the Internet and also the unfortunate (for the elite) arrival of one of the most powerful business-cycle fiat-money unravelings of the past century. Many power elite memes are seemingly in trouble including global warming, EU centralization and, of course, central banking. The elite is fighting back, of course, but gold moves up, economies unravel, the bond market takes its toll and gradually, generally, inexorably, the Masters of the Universe are being forced to cede control of their manifold fear-based promotions to the free-market itself. Oh, the ignominy!
In the above article, we can see the Financial Times – one of the Anglo-American elite's preeminent mouthpieces – is fairly gloomy about the state of the elite's public/private central banking dominant social theme. It should be. The article points out what we've been pointing out this past week, that the EU euro experiment (and the supposed probity and credibility of its central bank) has all but collapsed during the EU sovereign crisis.
You know, those who are paid to analyze this stuff on the colonial side of the pond should be singing the same song. Over a year ago, in what we would think (with all due modesty) has come to be seen as a prescient article, we declared that the American Federal Reserve as an institution was in far more trouble than people seemed to realize. It's always fashionable to rail at the Fed (once you understand what it really does) but it seemed even more incomprehensible then, than today, to visualize the all-powerful Fed as an institution under attack.
We sensed something had changed when the Fed sent an entirely incompetent representative up the Hill to take questions regarding TARP, etc. We realized then that the Fed was "out of bullets." Its top men didn't know what to do. The Fed was so used to being above the fray that its braintrust had no idea how to launch a PR counteroffensive. We heard recently the Fed finally hired a lobbyist to fight Congressional attacks – a single lobbyist or lobbying firm? This is an outfit that prints up a TRILLION DOLLARS without flinching and they hire one lobbyist or one firm?
You can see the article here: Federal Reserve Cannot Account for US$9 Trillion
Our opinion hasn't changed. We've only grown more convinced. We think the Fed's situation has grown worse. Now the Fed is going to be subject to an audit – and we're hearing again from the alternative press that the powers-that-be have "gotten away with it" in that they avoided being wacked by ongoing Congressionally-mandated audits and only ended up with just one. That's not our take. They HAVE been wacked. And they'll be wacked again. The Internet is an organic conscious-awakening PROCESS.
You see ... the power elite damage control involves reacting to "emergencies" and snuffing out fires – and it did so repeatedly in the 20th century. But that kind of damage control doesn't work in the 21st century. Douse a subterranean fire smouldering in an anthracite seam and it just flares up again. The Internet is like a coal mine. (Yes, we do feel like coal miners sometimes, although we prefer gold.) And the Fed won't see off this audit furor with just one go round. In fact, when Fed bankers in a panic try to shred papers or something, it will only be increasing the pressure and setting itself up for more problems. There will then be calls for another audit, etc.
In the 20th century, when Fed bankers decided to shred papers (if they ever bothered), the mainstream press would doubtless have kept dutifully silent. Even had the Fed powers-that-be been caught red-handed hauling incriminating evidence to a dumpster somewhere, the Washington Post would have reported on "house-cleaning" and left it at that. But no more. As we pointed out yesterday, the great victories that the Fed and others central banks are supposedly scoring of late are nothing like the victories of the 20th century. Every maneuver, these days, brings only more scrutiny. Every dodge just frustrates critics more. The public disapproves. It really does.
The Fed and its bankers likely sealed their fate when they began throwing hundreds of billions at various too-big-to-fail financial entities. They very next morning after the passage of TARP, millions of American working-class stiffs got up wondering why they had to scrape by – and why Congress wasn't shoving some of that free-loot in their direction. It's been downhill for US powers-that-be and the ludicrous Federal Reserve mercantilist central banking system ever since. And rightly so.
A few years ago Congressman John McCain – who wouldn't understand monetary policy if it clobbered him upside the head – was babbling about keeping Alan Greenspan around forever (like an Egyptian mummy or something) because Greenspan had proven to be such a darn good central banker. A little later, the Wall Street Journal reported that Greenspan was on the road and collecting a cool million for every hour of his services. We bet he doesn't get that now. And several years ago McCain – thankfully – ceased to babble about propping Greenspan up, dead or alive.
So, the Fed is a troubled institution these days. And now the Financial Times itself has pointed out that Western central banking ITSELF is in something of a bad way. The entire central banking meme seems to be foundering. This is a big deal! The alternative press should be all over this. (Not to mention the mainstream press.) The Twilight of Big Banking? ... Of course, maybe it's more dramatic to cover an unstoppable power elite. Also, many in the alternative press tend to cover the RESULTS of power elite actions, and thus are focused on the larger economic unraveling, whereas we are focused directly on the power elite's unraveling (where it occurs) as well as their successes.
But we are not afraid of pointing out when the power elite is beginning to stumble. The power elite tripped up as regards global warming, which has set back a number of other scarcity memes, including the water-scarcity meme. And the power elite in our opinion is not having a good time of it when it comes to the EU/global financial-centralization meme. The power elite's core monetary mechanism, the central bank under attack. Where is the elite to turn (other than a war – and that's been speculated on as well)? Where indeed?
We have written on numerous occasions now that sometimes situations are in fact as they appear. The power elite, in our opinion, did not intend to engineer the disaster that the EU has become. Sure, one can make order out of chaos. But making all of Southern Europe disappear into an irretrievable black hole of debt was not entirely on the agenda, we would venture. The elite tends to like controlled, manageable catastrophes, not unrolling, roiling typhoons. They were pretty uncomfortable during the Depression as we recall – especially in America and Britain.
What has all the recent turmoil gained the elite so far? Its political fellow-travelers just had to announce a trillion-dollar bailout, and looked buffoon-like in the process. The German Chancellor Frau Merkel has likely lost her base of power as a result and the Germans generally are up in arms. So are the Greeks. And likely the Spanish and Portuguese will be next. The EU Central bank has lost tremendous credibility. The euro and even the EU itself, 50-years a-building have come under question. This is progress? This is the plan?
Sometimes, as we have written, a rose is just a rose. And a power elite promotion gone awry is just that. Are banks being bailed out? Is Greece being squeezed? Does the plan include looting Southern Europe and maybe more? Yes, yes ... and surely. But we don't think the power elite planned for this level of blowback anymore than they planned for the time, attendance and location of Bilderberger meetings to be regularly published in advance on the Internet.
Conclusion: We have returned to this subject, and will again, because it is a most important one. One needs to understand the context of 21st century power elite promotions, but one also needs to understand when the elite is being challenged and when its promotions are either struggling or failing. Sure, there's always a back-up plan or something else to move onto (SDRs? A gold euro?) And generally we don't think the elite promotions are in terminal trouble at this point, or not yet; but we don't believe that many of them are so healthy either. They put pants on one leg at a time.
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Posted by Leonardo Pisano on 05/14/10 06:10 PM
Reply from The Daily Bell
Google is by now a veritable extension of US intelligence communities in many ways, one reason why China may have wanted to kick them out. The way searches are organized increasingly exclude alternative media in our opinion.
Posted by Andrew on 05/14/10 01:54 PM
"What are the reasons the Bell believes that the Power Elite in the US and the EU will not succeed in censoring the Internet?"
Reply from The Daily Bell
You're welcome.
Posted by Martin on 05/14/10 04:56 AM
Posted by Luis on 05/13/10 11:15 PM
Your website is the greatest discovery for me in the internet. May you prosper. I have maintained against all odds with friends and not so friendly that the internet IS the greatest revolution ever. I agree with you that it is virtually impossible to stop its truth disvovering worldwide powers. May you prosper. Thanks.
Posted by Adrian W. on 05/13/10 10:01 PM
The scumbag puppet Congressmen in America continue to push through reforms for their 'elite' masters. They know they have a short time left unless the November Elections are rigged...
Posted by F. Beard on 05/13/10 09:18 PM
- James A. Garfield via DB
Which is why money-for-debt is unstable. Once the population has been driven via negative real interest to a certain level of debt, it can borrow no more and the money supply goes back to where it came from, thin-air. Solution? A simple one would be for Congress to mandate a 100% reserve requirement for banks and let the US Treasury spend new United States Notes into circulation to cover interest payments. Hence, no contraction in the money supply would be possible. Price inflation would only be a problem if the new money creation was excessive. Without a boom-bust cycle to counter, why would it be?
Posted by Of on 05/13/10 07:43 PM
But an interesting one, at that...
I heard about the conference here for the first time. But at any rate, may anyone conspire as long as they wish.
There is only one conspiracy in this universe of any avail: and that is the conspiracy of Love. This conspiracy can only be lived and felt in a reality unreachable for fear, hatred or even for death.
So there's no trouble coming from lemmings thinking they have to do anything with anything. They can meet as long as they wish. If the real powers of the universe would be enervated they just have to stop these people's heartbeat. It's as easy as that.
It is not: "thou shalt not kill".... It is: thou cannot kill.
You are not in the position to kill as you're not in the position to give life.
Or can any one of you praise themselves of having made a flower, or a tree?
You're lucky, if you've planted one, maybe.
The powers of man are zilch. Man cannot live by himself.
It is Love that does it's will.
That's a big difference. Nothing real can be threatened.
Or as Jefferson put it: Only error needs government, truth can stand by itself.
So it doesn't sound so esoteric...
Reply from The Daily Bell
Thanks for the sincere words.
Posted by Andrew on 05/13/10 07:14 PM
Reply from The Daily Bell
"What are the reasons the Bell believes that the Power Elite in the US and the EU will not succeed in censoring the Internet?"
Because it is already too late? The knowledge that has exploded in the past 20 years has likely only begun to travel and may take generations to eradicate absent nuclear annihilation. It is one thing to keep people from learning something (effective censorship). It is another to remove from them something they already know about (recipe for regime change?).
Posted by F. Beard on 05/13/10 06:25 PM
Posted by F. Beard on 05/13/10 06:24 PM
- Alan Greenspan via DB
Actually Alan, fiat could be given value by accepting it for taxes, ie. public debts, while leaving the public free to refuse it for private debts.
Posted by F. Beard on 05/13/10 05:43 PM
- Ayn Rand via DB
"It is the blessing of the LORD that makes rich,
And He adds no sorrow to it." Proverbs 10:22
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Posted by Leonardo Pisano on 05/13/10 04:38 PM
Posted by Jim Welsh on 05/13/10 03:43 PM
DB
The internet is simply a transporter of information. Nothing more nor nothing less. Used as a discovery tool, each end user of this tool will process this information in which ever way suits their needs. But before anything can be produced from this material-from a stone axe to a social system - someone must first have an idea of what to aim for and how to go about achieving it. Ideas must precede all production and all action. For this reason, ideas are the most powerful (though often the most underestimated) force in the "net" world.
It is the formulation of these ideas, right or wrong. Good or bad. Moral or not, that the elite powers cannot control. They simply weren't prepared for the distribution and exchange of these ideas. The internet is about an idea - the discovery of what kind of society man needs in order to function most efficiently and happily and how to achieve that society. It is an idea about freedom - what it really is and implies, why man needs it, what it can do for him or her, and how to build and maintain a truly free society.
The power elite is given way too much credit in our conversation. The Bell is correct. "They put their pants on one leg at a time". The power of an ideas is now. It was unexpected. And it is devastating to the controlling powers when ideas are formulated and implemented outside their circle.
The elite are trying to figure out how to entrap these ideas and use them to their benefit to stay in power. They are poking and prodding this freedom of information just as we are. There will be new information, new ideas, new power elites, new businesses and new forms of governments. He who has the capacity to generate new ideas and concepts will be the ones that maintain their sovereign status. Others will blindly follow without thinking. Becoming a McDonald-lized participant of society.
Let us hope that it is the individual who is the generator and not the elite. If one cares not to believe-all one has to do is visit their local fast food chain and see if the cashier can make the correct change without the machine providing the answer. Maybe we are not going to the moon anymore because the elite know our children will not be able to count!
DB, you are a generator of thoughts and ideas that we all share. Keep up the fine work as we are all still poking and prodding for new and exciting ideas.
Reply from The Daily Bell
You said it very well.
Posted by Lance E. Schultz on 05/13/10 03:21 PM
@ Clayton
The debts are the consequences of the deficits. If the deficits are growing faster than the underlying productive capacity of the economy then the carrying cost per unit of additional debt must be lower than the previous carrying cost. If this is not the case, either default must eventually occur or the gap must be monetized.
Very true. As evidenced here before we have now reached complete global debt saturation or the solemn terminal negative productivity of marginal debt. With each new digital fiat ledger creation the world is now cannibalizing its own private productive economies and ultimately can only result in the complete and total devastation of the world's middle-class. With each new dollar ($1) of fiat specie created at the margin in the U.S. ($0.45) of its economy as measured in gross-domestic-product (GDP) or total output is now destroyed.
The world's fiat central banking institutions are systematically and parasitically destroying the private world economy and its ability to produce and protect private wealth. This IS the plan. No other outcome is rational. No other outcome can be produced. 98% of the world's countries are enslaved to debt. The total net Chinese booked duration is now less than () 13 months outstanding down from between an average maturity of seven to eight years only three years ago. The long-bond is DEAD on arrival worldwide. August 9, 2007 was just the first of several "tests."
September 15, 2008 $550 billion was (removed) from the market "instantaneously" without trace. Few people realize, on either day the entire global financial system was within a butterfly wing of complete evisceration. What we are now witnessing is a world-wide global race-to-the-bottom to devalue.
To devalue the stock-and-trade of productive assets worldwide. The equation no longer balances. Assets no longer equal liabilities and capital. Anyone who is able to read can see and know the current USD treasury market has "FAILED." You've heard of follow-the-money? Well, all one needs to do is follow-the-CUSIP# for each treasury security offering. Watch and follow each one as the criminal enterprise known as the US Fed issues and releases each batch (by#) to its flock of owners (Primary Dealers who also represent majority ownership in the Fed itself) only to witness the identical security (CUSIP#) appear on the Fed's own balance sheet in the immediate days and weeks to follow.
No matter how many hands it passes, no matter how many definitions of foreign intermediary they invent, no matter how many laudable declarations of contrived 'official' QE cessation they pronounce; we are buying our own debt, monetizing our own demise and enslaving our nation without apology.
Oh we're addicted alright...addicted to the Keynesian crystal methamphetamine known as fiat currency. But the 'tough love' no one is willing to share with the world is that our PUSHER can't even give the stuff away so he's having to resort to sticking the needle in his own veins and buy his own dope. The question becomes, how long do we believe he can keep this up before the neighbors figure things out. For things are no different and no better across the pond in Euro-land. The danger is now too many people KNOW the gig is up.
Every fragment of modern economics is fundamentally designed in its core to destroy and undermine man's reason; to cannibalize his ability to formulate his conclusions with the observations of his own senses. This economics is the brand of sheer unadulterated lunacy; the brand of a reprobate mind. In former times man was relentlessly bludgeoned into conformity to declare the earth as a flat linear specie when all along his cognition and volition were both screaming at him with no less ferocity to take hold of the reins, ride down on the stirrup and demand whoa.
No one calls for justice, nor does any plead for truth. They trust in empty words and speak lies; They conceive evil and bring forth iniquity - justice is turned back, and righteousness stands afar off; for truth is fallen in the street, And equity cannot enter. So truth fails, And he who departs from evil makes himself a prey. Isaiah 59
Reply from The Daily Bell
Thanks for the passionate and knowledgeable declamation. The only part we disagree with (f we understand correctly) is that the current miserable situation is the inevitable, immediate and purposeful end-result.
No, as we have stated before, we think the power has likely miscalculated regarding the Internet and over-reached regarding ongoing central banking money printing and bailouts. In desperation, perhaps, they have shown their hand clearly after a century of behind-the-scenes manipulation. This must be an uncomfortable time.
Posted by AmanfromMars on 05/13/10 03:19 PM
Methinks, it is more a case of will be wacked again and again and again now that the systemic flaw is so easily exploitable remotely. And it would seem the best folk to reverse the misfortune are those who can easiy exploit it remotely, InterNetworking with IT and Media and Cloudy Characters who are not at all shady but rather more red hot at what they can do. Real Masters of the Universe stuff even when it is also Virtually Programmed and running as a Satellite Earth Project ..... with New Command and Control Protocols and Controllers.
Chaos, which appears to be the default Power Elite Meme, is no longer a Valid and Believable Driver for the Present to lead into the Future.
"20th century rules and strategies don't apply to the 21st century." ... the Daily Bell.
Amen to that, the Daily Bell. And what will probably be very shortly discovered, or suspected, is that it is 22nd century thinking which takes over Global Lead with AI and Virtual Machines. And I only add "suspected" because some things will be known and be made known, whilst others things will remain unknown but be known to exist. But then you probably knew all that, already ........
"Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns - the ones we don't know we don't know." - Donald Rumsfeld
"Beware premature celebration, for chaos may yet ensue." ... Posted by Knukles on 5/13/2010 12:43:22 PM
It will be the surge that purges the cuckoos from their ivory towers, Knukles, unless there is a change of Hearts and Minds in the Established Not So Secret Orders/Conspiring Cabals. That would though require, more than just a tad of much greater intelligence than is presently being displayed and exercised, and that is something which they might have to buy in to save themselves from ...... well, public disgrace will be the very least of their worries the way things are going and hotting up.
And perhaps we might consider that Duane Bass's observation, posted on 5/13/2010 7:03:31 AM ....
"As far as the Power elite is concerned, I do not think that they are going to just roll over and die. We have to actively kill them off with the knowledge of their memes via the internet, in a viral fashion." ..... is a Current Program in a Future Project and Great Game Virtualisation.
It most certainly is in IT for some ..... MetaPhysicians and ARGonauts.
ARG .... Click to view link
Posted by Mark Y on 05/13/10 03:11 PM
Both have both referred to "crony capitalism" recently. Below is a link to Will's most recent column in which he says, "Under crony capitalism, when government and corporate America merge, both dissemble." The article is entitled: "Greece and GM, Too Weak to Fail." Will notes that the US taxpayers are bailing out Greece, but fails to even mention the Federal Reserve System.
Click to view link
I believe that Ron Paul has become so prominent and there are so many people mentally joining into the tea party/freedom movement that the right wing neocon spokesman are having to adjust their propaganda dialog in order to remain relevant. The poles of the Hegelian Debate are being moved towards the pole of the true free market by the force of the spread of truth into the general populace.
Keep it up Daily Bell and all those spreading the message of freedom!!
Reply from The Daily Bell
Great analysis. Much food for thought. Thanks.
Posted by Of on 05/13/10 02:39 PM
Reply from The Daily Bell
The Pirate Parry (if it is the one we are thinking of) is full of good people. But they do not know about economics, you are probably correct.
Posted by Of on 05/13/10 02:33 PM
We are absolutely in this Landvogt situation, collectively.
We gotta make those crooks greet now. Last time in German parliament, I think around election time, someone called the parliament the sovereign. They just never get it, do they?
I believe in these Freudian slips, when noone hears them anymore.
Posted by Clayton on 05/13/10 02:18 PM
Posted by Knukles on 05/13/10 12:43 PM
"As a dog returns to his vomit, so a fool repeats his folly." They may be down, but not out. Beware premature celebration, for chaos may yet ensue.
Reply from The Daily Bell
You think Bell articles are celebratory?
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