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Global Depression – A Directed Phenomenon ...

Monday, December 26, 2011 – by Staff Report

Is Latin America's Boom Over? A Pall, Personal and Economic, Falls Over a Regional Summit ... A pall was cast over the summit of Mercosur nations in Uruguay this week when Iván Heyn, Argentina's Undersecretary for Foreign Trade, was found dead, hanged with a belt in his Montevideo hotel room. Heyn, only 34, was a rising star and close friend of the family of Argentine President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, who was just sworn in Dec. 10 after her landslide re-election victory. Visibly upset, Fernández, who is taking over as chair of the South American trade alliance, could have been speaking in a personal as well as macroeconomic context when she told her fellow heads of state at the end of the summit on Dec. 21, "We have to protect each other." Uruguayan investigators say they're trying to determine whether Heyn's death was a suicide or possibly accidental asphyxiation. – UK Telegraph

Dominant Social Theme: Now South America! What's going on, fellows? This ain't fair.

Free-Market Analysis: Oh, boy, who couldn't see this coming? We've written about the BRIC inflationary instability – especially Brazil and India – and now this economic insight has been blessed by that maven of behind-the-times analysis, TIME Magazine.

Yes, TIME Magazine, which only a little while ago, from what we can tell, discovered that China was on the way down, has now figured out that South America is bound to slow down too as its engine, Brazil, sputters and fails. Argentina, of course, has long ceded its economic dominance.

But one needs to ask why should this be? Why should a "boom" yield to a TIME Magazine-analyzed bust? Is it merely the tenor of the times? Is it simply the way the world works? Or is there some other unstated manifestation?

Well ... of course there is, in our view. It cannot be stated too many times (since there is an entire, global, mainstream press that will never state it) that the world's economy is an artificial environment. If it were a "free market" system, it would not be nearly so artificial.

It is an artificial market because the powers-that-be that want to create one-world government need a platform from which to continue their manipulations. It suits their purposes (see other article, this issue) to continue to promote the world's evident economic decay. Without creating chaos, order (world government) cannot be introduced. First we have a global depression.

A free-market system would be infinitely preferable to this insane, fiat-money global system in which entire continents plunge into recessions and depressions at the same time. But we do not have free markets. It does not suit the elites to allow them to operate.

No, they have moved us in the opposite direction – with honeyed words purveyed by a vast promotional apparatus (including TIME Magazine itself). The world is "interconnected," we learn over and over. That's only because the powers-that-be have imposed central banking on virtually every country and coordinate monetary stimulation via the BIS, G20, etc.

What kind of insanity promotes the creation of this kind of centralization, fragility and brittleness? Every regulation that supposedly makes markets "safer" actually further concentrates financial and economic activity and makes economies more prone to booms and busts. It's like funneling a stampede through the eye of a needle.

Then there are exchanges themselves. Somehow the consolidation continues. It makes no sense, of course, to have just one major exchange trading everything. In reality, fragmentation should be occurring as people use the Internet to set up flexible trading system. But the opposite is happening. The very largest and most destructive trading environments continue to merge – and to ask us to believe it is a natural and "competitive" occurrence.

Meanwhile, central banks continue to do what they do best – print money from nothing in endlessly distortive waves of depreciating currency. First, people feel wealthy and later on – as economic realities sink in – stock markets plunge. Recessions and depressions begin.

That's where the world is today. It's no surprise. Everything the ruling classes do (at the behest of the top Anglosphere elites) makes things worse. The centralization that is portrayed as inevitable is an endless feedback loop of ruin.

And still the centralizing tendencies continue! And we are made to believe that the solutions to the problems caused by regulation, global trading and central banking is ... more of the same! It makes no sense on any level. Not even at the top. Here's some more from the TIME Magazine article:

But even before the Undersecretary's demise, the Mercosur nations were feeling an end-of-the-year malaise – and an urgent need to protect each other's economies. In short, the continent's decade-long boom may be ending. According to the U.N.'s Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), Latin American growth, which topped 6% last year, will slow to 4.3% this year and 3.7% in 2012.

Brazil's economy, the region's largest, actually flat-lined in the third quarter; Argentina's scorching growth of 9% this year will be halved to 4.8% next year, and capital flight is expected to be robust. Mexico's growth, meanwhile, will drop from 4% to 3.3%. That's hardly doomsday news, but it's one reason the Montevideo summit's main action was to raise protective import tariffs

A big reason the severe global recession hadn't caught up with most of Latin America until now is that el boom was fueled mostly by exports of commodities, from soy to iron ore, to insatiable China. But even China's stratospheric growth is expected to fall in 2012. That, coupled with still drooping demand in the U.S. and Europe, is bad news for Latin America – but not only because the global market for its raw materials will be weaker ...

You see, dear reader, it is COINCIDENTAL. It is simply the way systems work. It never seems to occur to the mavens at TIME to ask WHY the systems work the way they do. And who put them in place to begin with?

The article informs us that the reason South America is in a fragile state is because the region slipped "once more into its addiction to raw materials exports." Well, of course, this only makes sense as the Chinese economy – where the raw materials are going – is similarly juiced by central banking money-from-nothing. The whole system is on "financial crack." Addiction is the right word, but not for reasons TIME is proposing.

And then there is bromide as an aside in the middle of the article: (See: "A New Iron Lady: Why Dilma Is Brazil's Best Bet to Revive Its Economy"). Here we go again! What Brazil needs is a "leader," according to TIME.

As if a "leader" can make a change in this horrible economic system that the Anglosphere elites have foisted on the world. Leaders in the current age are bought-and-paid-for agents of the elites that promote their placements.

The article concludes by telling us that four major Latin American economies on the region's Pacific rim – Mexico, Chile, Peru and Colombia (with Panama as an observer) – "agreed this month to start a new trade bloc, the Alliance of the Pacific, to put them in closer contact with the Asian 'tiger' markets."

A new trading block ... More centralization ... It never occurs to the TIME writers and editors that business arrangements should be the province of businesspeople. No, in this modern and efficient age, elected officials create "trading blocks" and horribly complex trade agreements – that do the opposite of what they are supposedly intended to do.

It is just a farce. It really is. You don't believe this idea of "directed history"? Don't believe the Anglosphere power elite uses Money Power to organize and generate what is written in the history books? How about the famous anonymous (2004) statement by an actor in the Bush administration, as quoted in the New York Times: "We create reality. And while you are studying that reality – judiciously, as you will – we’ll act again creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors … and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."

Explain central banking, then. Explain why Afghanistan ended up with a central bank as soon as the Taliban were thrown out. Where NATO goes, central banking follows. At the beginning of the 20th century there were very few central banks and almost none of the fiat variety. Now the entire world is connected by this accursed fiat blight. The good, gray men of central banking are supposed to be the new priesthood, the new and divine technocracy.

In our humble view, it is simply no coincidence that the world's major commercial regions are all foundering and failing as the new decade turns the corner. Every part of this global, artificial economy rises and falls together, like one horrible heart.

Sure, the Americas are beginning to deflate now. Sure, the bubble is bursting in South America. Just as it has burst in the US and Europe. Just as it has burst in China (and soon enough, Asia). If there were no central banks to organize and promote this chaos, we would be less suspicious of what is going on. TIME, of course, is not suspicious at all.

Conclusion: No, the writers and editors of TIME seem to be convinced that the ongoing, continual descent into world depression is merely part of some larger natural force beyond control. It simply is not. And those who perceive the essentially artificial and malicious nature of what is taking place are in our view in a better position to defend themselves and their families than those who close their eyes.




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  Posted by Bischoff on 12/29/11 02:37 AM

Posted by Danny B on 12/28/11 12:07 AM
Bischoff, good to see you. Obviously, the U.S. currency is a "petro-dollar". But Saudi is running out of oil. If America can't lock-up central Asian oil, the Sino-Soviets and their satellites will ignore the dollar.
"There undoubtedly comes a time when doubt arises that the checks will be made good."
Here's a good article about investors just packing up and leaving the investing scene.
Click to view link
It will be very difficult for the GOV to retain the confidence of the public if the banks close.

@ Danny

As to the link you referenced, the author focuses on the inability of commodity markets to guarantee payment on commodity contracts. The problem with hedgers and speculators in the commodity markets is that they started too late to realize how "front running" of the FED in the bond market effects the commodity markets. MF Global tried to "front run" the ECB too soon, and it got clabbered. The question whether there will be a "EURO Bond" is still unanswered.

The fact that there are an unknown number of naked "gold contracts" floating trading on the markets should want every market participant to reread the "force majeure" clause in his trading contract.

If you pull your USD denominated investments out of the markets, you can only save the value of the USDs by using them to buy Gold.

However, when the average guy catches on, and he demands that he be changed out of the markets in favor of gold, gold will then go into backwardation. There is no a doubt about it.

  Posted by Bischoff on 12/29/11 02:06 AM

Posted by AlephNull on 12/28/11 03:55 AM
... ."Explain why Afghanistan ended up with a central bank as soon as the Taliban were thrown out" ... .

IIRC, a new CB in Libya was created on the same day that NATO started it's "support" operation ( i.e. bombing ).
FWIW

Afghanistan and Libya had a central bank long before NATO had anything to do with either country. While it wasn't the type of the U.S. FED central bank on which the ECB, the BOJ and the BOC is modeled, it nevertheless was a singular bank to create domestic currency under control by the central government.

A "FED type" of central bank monetizes government debt and circulates the currency through a central bank controlled banking system.

So, what's so significant about Afghanistan and Libya changing their type of central bank to a "FED type" of central bank... ??? Can you tell me... ???

  Posted by Bischoff on 12/29/11 01:47 AM

Posted by Danny B on 12/28/11 12:07 AM
Bischoff, good to see you. Obviously, the U.S. currency is a "petro-dollar". But Saudi is running out of oil. If America can't lock-up central Asian oil, the Sino-Soviets and their satellites will ignore the dollar.
"There undoubtedly comes a time when doubt arises that the checks will be made good."
Here's a good article about investors just packing up and leaving the investing scene.
Click to view link
It will be very difficult for the GOV to retain the confidence of the public if the banks close.

Good to see you, Danny.

This story about the Saudis being out of oil is decades old. There is no doubt depletion. Unless you know the oil business, you cannot interpret the crap the media tells you to gain a real picture of "world oil".

"But Saudi is running out of oil. If America can't lock-up central Asian oil, the Sino-Soviets and their satellites will ignore the dollar."

You may not know it, but the Vietnam War was fought for locking up control over the oil reserves off the coast of South Vietnam. When Lyndon Johnson and later Nixon bugged out of Vietnam, the "free market" for crude was gone. When the Shah of Iran realized that the U.S. was unwilling to secure crude oil deposits to insure a "free market price" for world oil, he promptly raised the price of his Iranian crude. This set off a chain reaction which undermined the value of the redeemable USD, and which finally ended up in the suspension of redemption for USD by Nixon in 1971.

Fed Chairman Volker saved the demise of the USD by making a deal with the Saudis to quote crude in USD only. Because Saudi Arabia is the marginal cost oil producer, the Saudis determine the world crude oil price. It doesn't matter how much oil they have in the ground compared to any other country. What matters is that they have enough oil to pump to bankrupt any other country which tries to underbid their price.

The easiest way to understand the USD, which derives its value from the world price of oil set in Houston and Riyhad, is to understand that to quote Saudi crude in USD is one thing, but then to insure delivery of Saudi crude is another thing.

So far, the U.S. military has guaranteed the free flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf. Bugging out of Iraq mirrors bugging out of Vietnam. Again the Iranians see an unwillingness on the part of the U.S. to defend their currency, and they stand ready to suck it to us again. This time they are threatening to close the Straits of Hormus. If they are successful in convincing the world that they could do it, the confidence in the value is undermined. The problem for the world is, there is nowhere to turn for an alternative currency to serve as reserve currency.

Think about it. Do you think countries will save EURO, RUBEL, YUAN, RUPEE, CRUIZERO, etc. with which to pay oil bills when they will never know which currency an oil supplier will accept... ???

If the world loses confidence in the value of the USD, then everybody is on their own, which means a collapse of the world economy and local economies across the board.

The world wants to desperately "believe" in the USD. It doesn't matter that the USD is not redeemable (it's debt, and therefore worthless as an asset), as long as the world can pretent to believe that our children and grand children will stand behind the USD. Because of the inevitable fall out which follows the collapse of the USD, the world doesn't not want to get off the "USD Standard" just yet, regardless of what you hear.

Of course, with using the expression "the world", I exclude from it the Iranians and the Jihadists.

Lets see what happens in the next twelve month. Obama will try to use the fall of the USD to convince us that his socialist/communist utopia is the answer to the collapse of the present U.S. economy.

On the other hand, my hopes for the U.S. are wrapped up in the positive expression of human nature and the defining influence of American history to return this country to the American political economy envisioned by the founders evidenced in the creation of the U.S. Constitution.

  Posted by laceja on 12/28/11 11:05 AM

Posted by Justin on 12/26/11 10:54 PM
What does Argentina's Undersecretary for Foreign Trade slipping off the chair while he was getting a blowjob have to do with global depression!?

Don't you know that's how the guy from that pop band INXS died? Guys with the money & prestige go for that sort of thing. Kind of like High Court judges getting busted doing it with boys in public toilets.

Par for the course.

You obviously have no idea what's going on in South America.

  Posted by AlephNull on 12/28/11 03:55 AM

... ."Explain why Afghanistan ended up with a central bank as soon as the Taliban were thrown out" ... .

IIRC, a new CB in Libya was created on the same day that NATO started it's "support" operation ( i.e. bombing ).
FWIW

  Posted by Danny B on 12/28/11 12:07 AM

Bischoff, good to see you. Obviously, the U.S. currency is a "petro-dollar". But Saudi is running out of oil. If America can't lock-up central Asian oil, the Sino-Soviets and their satellites will ignore the dollar.
"There undoubtedly comes a time when doubt arises that the checks will be made good."
Here's a good article about investors just packing up and leaving the investing scene.
Click to view link
It will be very difficult for the GOV to retain the confidence of the public if the banks close.

  Posted by nithsdale on 12/27/11 08:17 PM

You are witnessing another political coup in the making. The so called overwhelming victory of the widow of the former President of Argentina, now his successor, is not rated that by many Argentinians... they call it a defacto "take over". That displeasure is not lost on the old military cliques throughout South America and they are mobilizing to take back what they believe is their's! They have sent a "message" into the Kirchner camp with the removal of her prime advisor!

This is the first "hit" and watch as the others take place in all those countries you have cited and a few more in the Isthmus.

Americans have dismissed the military as a force in government, reducing it to the handmaiden of whomever is in the Executive Office. However, there are cadres in the military that take their duties seriously, especially when they do not like the forces taking over their countries. You may be quite surprised at how effective such out of date, unfashionable aims of so called "patriots" can be in crisis conditions.

History does repeat itself!

  Posted by chad2 on 12/27/11 01:45 PM

Right, it's no coincidence. But go further! What is the end game of the one world government?

  Posted by Bischoff on 12/27/11 10:41 AM

Posted by Danny B on 12/27/11 12:07 AM
It appears that Pakistan is dumping the dollar in a big way.
Click to view link
Add Thailand and Nigeria.
Iraq is talking about much closer ties with Iran. Turkey is talking the same about Iran.
America could easily be locked out of central Asian oil.
China and Russia would have to provide a credible deterrent to American aggression towards Iran to cement a new viable economic agreement between the whole group.
Russia just test-fired a couple of new? ICBMs. China launched an ICBM off the coast of Los Angeles. The East can put a lot of muscle behind their agreements.

If America can't credibly frighten Iran, Iraq, Pakistan and Turkey, they will find that Afghanistan is their last conduit for access to Asian oil. That might mean that the Syria--Iran showdown is all important. If Venezuela feels confidant with Iran and China, that will make it harder for America to control Orinoco oil. Brazil is part of the "oil Kitchen". They too might be attracted to China if America becomes too pushy.
What a tangled web we weave :)

You are describing all the symptoms, but you fail to identify the disease.

The U.S. declared bankruptcy with the suspension of redemption of the USD in 1971. The status of the USD as the world reserve currency was "kaputt".

In order to sell debt, the U.S. Treasury had to offer interest rates that were unheard of before under the international bullion standard, much less under the gold standard.

To recover the status of "world reserve currency" for the USD without offering redemption, Secretary Miller and FED Chairman Volker reached an agreement with the Saudis, the world's marginal cost oil producer, to quote crude oil in USD only. Since every country in the world needs crude oil, they also needed USDs to pay for the oil purchases.

With the Saudis being the marginal cost oil producers, and the American Oil Majors being the marginal cost refiners, the Saudis and the American Oil Majors set the "price" of oil, i.e. they gave "value" to the USD.

To guarantee the value of the USD, the survival of Saudi Arabia and the "free flow" of oil from the Persian Gulf had to be guaranteed. That has been the ungoing effort ever since the early 1980s. All our involvement in the Middle East must be evaluated in that light.

U.N. sanctions made it possible for Saddam Hussein to sell Iraqi oil for EUROs, thereby undermining the value of the USD. Saddam Hussein had to go.

The Iranians started to interfere with the tanker traffic from Saudi Arabia going through the Straits of Hormus. The Saudi tankers were "reflagged" as U.S. tankers, and the 6th Fleet showed up in the Persian Gulf to insure unhampered tanker traffic.

The Russians planned to built a pipeline through Afghanistan and Baluchistan to the Indian Ocean. The U.S. instead support the Mudjahadin in their effort to remove the Russians from Afghanistan.

The Iranians plan to built a pipeline through Afghanistan directly into China. The U.S. makes friends with the Northern Alliance and kicks the Taliban out of power.

It's been the U.S. military which has been the guardian of the value of the USD. The total withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq is an indicator that the U.S. is no longer willing or able to underwrite the value of the USD to keep it viable as the "world currency reserve" currency.

Slowly, it dawns on these countries that they are on their own without the USD. The "USD Standard" was a fraud to begin with. It was a way to maintain fluctuation in the value of the USD while implying that the USD represented a fixed value standard.

An irredeemable world reserve currency is like writing checks that are never cashed. The whole world economy is built on passing phony checks. There undoubtedly comes a time when doubt arises that the checks will be made good.

So, what happens to the value of the USD and to the U.S. economy upon the collapse of the USD as the "world reserve currency"?

This question is very likely to be the subject of the 2012 election.

  Posted by Danny B on 12/27/11 12:07 AM

It appears that Pakistan is dumping the dollar in a big way.
Click to view link
Add Thailand and Nigeria.
Iraq is talking about much closer ties with Iran. Turkey is talking the same about Iran.
America could easily be locked out of central Asian oil.
China and Russia would have to provide a credible deterrent to American aggression towards Iran to cement a new viable economic agreement between the whole group.
Russia just test-fired a couple of new? ICBMs. China launched an ICBM off the coast of Los Angeles. The East can put a lot of muscle behind their agreements.

If America can't credibly frighten Iran, Iraq, Pakistan and Turkey, they will find that Afghanistan is their last conduit for access to Asian oil. That might mean that the Syria--Iran showdown is all important. If Venezuela feels confidant with Iran and China, that will make it harder for America to control Orinoco oil. Brazil is part of the "oil Kitchen". They too might be attracted to China if America becomes too pushy.
What a tangled web we weave :)

  Posted by Justin on 12/26/11 10:54 PM

What does Argentina's Undersecretary for Foreign Trade slipping off the chair while he was getting a blowjob have to do with global depression!?

Don't you know that's how the guy from that pop band INXS died? Guys with the money & prestige go for that sort of thing. Kind of like High Court judges getting busted doing it with boys in public toilets.

Par for the course.

  Posted by Danny B on 12/26/11 10:52 PM

Japan has made a monumental move away from the dollar. Should MERCOSUR join them, that would be a huge slap against the dollar.
Click to view link
The U.S. has always tried to hold the trump-card with food production. That is why Iran and Venezuela did a joint venture to produce tractors in Venezuela.
China is now buying Eurozone assets. That will create ties between the 2 zones.
Click to view link
All of this is a push to multiple currencies rather than just the dollar. Everyone screams that no other currency could replace the dollar. "They" seem to have forgotten that the world could get by with currency competition and WITHOUT an official reserve currency.
The IMF has always screwed Latin America. If Latin America believes that they can get a fair deal from the East instead of the West, they will do currency swaps and direct raw materials barter.
The Orinoco basin is estimated to hold 1.3 trillion barrels of oil equivalent. You can bet that China will give a better deal than America.
Click to view link
Chile has copper and Huge deposits of nitrates.
If America won't play-nice, the East will easily build a trade empire with the South.

  Posted by john the simple on 12/26/11 06:59 PM

Posted by laceja on 12/26/11 02:06 PM
Now, this would be an excellent thing for DB to study and report on.

Mercosur has been organizing itself, of late, to dump the IMF and BIS. Yes, that's right! Mercorsur has the idea that competing currencies are a very good idea. They want to organize all of South America (386 million people) into a trading block, where each countries currency is accepted in all other countries. Uruguay is one of a few countries, where you can open a bank account in just about any currency you want. That, my friends, is the real reason Mr. Heyn is no longer with us. I would be super surprised if Mr. Heyn actually died by suicide or accidentally.

Just imagine how unhappy the folks at the IMF and BIS would be, if all of Latin America, including central America, managed to slip the bonds of slavery and create a real free market. Any success at all would surely attract just about every other country, outside of the US, England, and Central Europe.

You really need to investigate this one!

second the suggestion that DB studies and reports on Mercorsur's idea of competing currencies/ & Mr. Heyn's murder(?).
"You really need to investigate this one."

  Posted by WD on 12/26/11 04:03 PM

Time magazine? Are you kidding? Do you actually believe Rockefeller Rothschild tools are ever going to question Rockefeller Rothschild control and policy?

It must be a slow news day in elfville.

  Posted by laceja on 12/26/11 02:06 PM

Now, this would be an excellent thing for DB to study and report on.

Mercosur has been organizing itself, of late, to dump the IMF and BIS. Yes, that's right! Mercorsur has the idea that competing currencies are a very good idea. They want to organize all of South America (386 million people) into a trading block, where each countries currency is accepted in all other countries. Uruguay is one of a few countries, where you can open a bank account in just about any currency you want. That, my friends, is the real reason Mr. Heyn is no longer with us. I would be super surprised if Mr. Heyn actually died by suicide or accidentally.

Just imagine how unhappy the folks at the IMF and BIS would be, if all of Latin America, including central America, managed to slip the bonds of slavery and create a real free market. Any success at all would surely attract just about every other country, outside of the US, England, and Central Europe.

You really need to investigate this one!